Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $500
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
Metamah
0xbd69c93f156ab64dc262a2082d64037a11b6e123
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $3K
- Win rate
- 82.6%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$186.92
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $233.45
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$166.75
Yes position
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.4%
- Current value
- $302.41
- Potential payout
- $696.8
- Potential profit
- $394.39
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $142.68
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.97
- Potential profit
- $249.97
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658.33
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $457.41
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $341.99
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $258.83
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $177.35
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.8
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.2
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $140
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $116.28
No position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.59
Yes position
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.98
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.29
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.75
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.81
Yes position
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.2
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 29-April 4, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$807.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes 21.8% 458.52 shares
- Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?Yes 47% 50 shares
- Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?Yes 41.4% 18.49 shares
- Crude Oil all time high by April 30?No 97.7% 135 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16?Down 13% 4.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?Down 41% 143.63 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes 24.8% 20.78 shares
- Crude Oil all time high by April 30?No 78% 34.01 shares
- Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?Yes 8% 1,000 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Yes 11.3% 68.43 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes 99.2% 75 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes 98% 30 shares