Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $878.78
- Potential profit
- $874.82
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$31.05
Polymarket Trader
audible
0xbd6c5df476b19762d0b73c8db4a9d2b26bc868d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $477.91
- Realized PnL
- $2.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $50.31
- Potential payout
- $804.92
- Potential profit
- $754.62
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $13.18
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $80.41
- Potential payout
- $643.29
- Potential profit
- $562.88
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $44.41
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $29.39
- Potential payout
- $618.78
- Potential profit
- $589.39
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$8.61
No position
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $439.13
- Potential profit
- $439.13
- User PnL
- -$72
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $26.25
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $323.75
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Yes position
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $19.15
- Potential payout
- $330.11
- Potential profit
- $310.97
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- -$18.85
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $30.37
- Potential payout
- $308.33
- Potential profit
- $277.96
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- -$6.63
Yes position
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $13.42
- Potential payout
- $258.12
- Potential profit
- $244.7
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$22.58
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.68
- Potential profit
- $239.68
- User PnL
- -$69
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $198.22
- Potential profit
- $192.67
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$62.45
No position
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $87.4
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $27.6
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $52.4
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.18
- Potential profit
- $87.18
- User PnL
- -$34
No position
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $67.01
- Potential payout
- $85.37
- Potential profit
- $18.35
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $32.01
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $80.73
- Potential profit
- $57.73
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $41.69
- Potential payout
- $80.18
- Potential profit
- $38.49
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $5.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.97
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.84
No position
Iran military response by Monday?
Ends Aug 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.2
No position
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $178 end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.64
No position
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.66
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.39
No position
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.7
No position
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.56
Yes position
Will Palantir dip to $156 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.33
Yes position
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
No position
Will Trump cut Medicaid before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.65
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.73
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.7
Lower position
Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic (SRB) win Gold in Men's Tennis?
Ends Aug 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71
Yes position
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.01
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.92
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.44
Yes position
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.83
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.18
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes 10% 350 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?Yes 12% 308.33 shares
- Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeYes 4.8% 559.65 shares
- Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeYes 4.1% 245.27 shares
- OpenAI acquired before 2027?Yes 11.5% 330.11 shares
- Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes 6.1% 618.78 shares
- Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?No 13.9% 265.95 shares
- Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Yes 13.9% 258.12 shares
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No 44.9% 80.18 shares
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $178 end of December?No 2.8% 107.14 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 7.1% 36 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 87% 40 shares