Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $14.49
- Potential payout
- $152.57
- Potential profit
- $138.08
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$25.29
Polymarket Trader
0xbd84...1292
0xbd848c80fbf82d6f31a883660549342935ae1292
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $190.3
- Realized PnL
- $682.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $12.86
- Potential payout
- $135.32
- Potential profit
- $122.46
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$22.14
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $115.12
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$11.07
Yes position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.74
- Potential payout
- $76.54
- Potential profit
- $70.8
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.21
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $57.42
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$12.9
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $7.89
- Potential payout
- $62.9
- Potential profit
- $55
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $62.51
- Potential profit
- $59.07
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Yes position
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $3.09
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $56.91
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $54.57
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.58
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.8%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $55.84
- Potential profit
- $40.34
- Multiplier
- 3.60x
- User PnL
- -$24.5
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $53.35
- Potential profit
- $46.15
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $52.22
- Potential profit
- $50.11
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $7.58
- Potential payout
- $45.93
- Potential profit
- $38.35
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$7.37
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $2.86
- Potential payout
- $41.1
- Potential profit
- $38.24
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $40.97
- Potential profit
- $37.49
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$6.52
Yes position
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
Ends Jan 19, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $15.69
- Potential payout
- $40.66
- Potential profit
- $24.96
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $5.69
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $34.09
- Potential profit
- $28.81
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$14.72
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.41
- Potential payout
- $32.1
- Potential profit
- $29.69
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.54
Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $31.04
- Potential profit
- $27.79
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.69
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $23.91
- Potential payout
- $28.98
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $25.47
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $19.22
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $8.04
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will EUR/USD hit 1.12 (Low) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $16.99
- Potential payout
- $25.75
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.01
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.96
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.84
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.43
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.88
Yes position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.15
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.78
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.5
Yes position
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.89
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.07
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.45
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.34
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.16
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.9
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.4% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.56
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.49
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.24
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.66
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $14.92
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.31
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 65% 6.12 shares
- Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 75% 6 shares
- Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 23% 13.04 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.2% 15.63 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.3% 41.1 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.3% 116.27 shares
- Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 5% 60 shares
- Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 60% 5.08 shares
- Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Yes 14.3% 15.75 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Yes 0.1% 10.08 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Yes 99% 9.33 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?No 86% 19.86 shares