Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.35
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Polymarket Trader
DanCatalyst
0xbd85eb45c605f1fcc94f8b1cca687f8826a67a3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $282.24
- Realized PnL
- $247.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $16.65
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $13.35
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $18.7
- Potential payout
- $27.71
- Potential profit
- $9.01
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $1.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $13.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $12.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $12.38
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $14.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $10.13
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $13.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $11.88
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $17.37
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $7.63
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $15.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $9.38
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $15.13
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $14.37
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $10.62
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $15.12
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $9.87
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $14.02
- Potential payout
- $23.36
- Potential profit
- $9.34
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $13.58
- Potential payout
- $22.82
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $12.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.9
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $14.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $19.57
- Potential profit
- $9.69
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $11.47
- Potential payout
- $18.2
- Potential profit
- $6.74
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $6.98
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $8.03
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- $9.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C or higher on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?No 10% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?No 2% 15 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?No 1% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 24?No 26% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on June 26?No 89% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 23?No 0.1% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 23?No 1.7% 4.99 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 23?No 1.1% 4.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?No 1.6% 4.99 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 23?No 1.3% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 23?No 41.2% 24.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 24?No 55% 10 shares