Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $23.58
- Potential payout
- $23.95
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Polymarket Trader
Luckyfantom
0xbda56bf42beeb350d8e1669e1b85179e0298fa16
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.52
- Realized PnL
- $1.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $17.24
- Potential payout
- $17.73
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $9.06
- Potential payout
- $13.23
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$3.14
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.08
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.6
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.64
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.07
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on July 6?Yes 88% 17.73 shares
- Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on July 6?Yes 93% 3.23 shares
- Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on July 6?Yes 92% 10 shares
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 on July 6?No 93.3% 5 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 6?Yes 96% 23.95 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?Yes 84.9% 141.48 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?Up 88% 27.47 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?Yes 97% 103.09 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?Up 91% 27.47 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 2?No 90% 39.59 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 2?No 94.7% 39.6 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 2?No 94% 23.06 shares