No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.25K
- Potential profit
- $23.25K
- User PnL
- -$8.34K
Polymarket Trader
BTCisaHarshMistress
0xbdd11cc911ec8ed95887e56dc253d70cb36b0c4f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.4K
- Realized PnL
- $34.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- User PnL
- -$3.54K
Yes position
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.77K
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $670.7
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $94.13
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $22.8
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $46.95
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$58
Yes position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $277.37
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$99.74
No position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $331.27
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $19.48
Yes position
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $12.7
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.76
Yes position
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $25.72
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$31.66
Yes position
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $871.82
- Potential profit
- $868.77
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.74
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $650
- User PnL
- -$14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $573.86
- Potential profit
- $573.86
- User PnL
- -$29.47
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $11.77
- Potential payout
- $550.1
- Potential profit
- $538.33
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$17.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $498.31
- Potential profit
- $498.31
- User PnL
- -$9.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.74
- Potential profit
- $491.74
- User PnL
- -$35.25
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $286.01
- Potential payout
- $417.53
- Potential profit
- $131.52
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $3.73
Yes position
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399.4
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $306
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $94
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.96
- Potential profit
- $399.96
- User PnL
- -$62.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $382.41
- Potential profit
- $382.41
- User PnL
- -$52.1
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $295.75
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $54.25
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $5.75
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $344.7
- Potential profit
- $340.74
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$14.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305.12
- Potential profit
- $305.12
- User PnL
- -$35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
India military action against Pakistan before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $942.37
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $924.52
Yes position
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.65
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $883.05
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win by 25–49 seats?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $767.98
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.66
Yes position
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $701.38
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 78% 10 shares
- Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes 14% 40.27 shares
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?No 89% 141 shares
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?No 89% 10 shares
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Japan 39% 20 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 84% 50 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 83% 300 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 69% 10 shares
- Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes 14% 10 shares