Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $89.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Polymarket Trader
kaixinwan
0xbdd444ab3dc32ac2976d366df2b1bd4aa7e4eaf5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $242.95
- Realized PnL
- $2.35
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $65.85
- Potential payout
- $78.86
- Potential profit
- $13.01
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$5.13
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $72.2
- Potential profit
- $68.59
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.61
N
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $49.8
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.3%
- Current value
- $25.01
- Potential payout
- $28.02
- Potential profit
- $3.01
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Current value
- $9.18
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 89.4% 28.02 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 3.2% 90.09 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 10% 32 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 3.5% 90.09 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 10% 40.2 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 90% 78.86 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 100 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?No 81% 60 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 4.4% 17 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?No 0.7% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?No 0.5% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 8% 17 shares