Polymarket Trader

Manish2099

@Manish4747474

0xbdddb3b06471938353c613ec232628711520ce73

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $78.36
Realized PnL: $1.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$23.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.8
Potential profit: $199.8
User PnL: -$71.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.44
Potential profit: $199.44
User PnL: -$67.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166
Potential profit: $166
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $86
User PnL: -$17.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $85
User PnL: -$33.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.24
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$7.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $16.92
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $63.08
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: -$23.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $60.4
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $19.6
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $52.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 78.9%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 97.9% 18.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 98% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 98.1% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 50% 83.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 98.6% 70 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 70 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 19.8% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 76% 78 shares