Polymarket Trader

Xedr

0xbde8e3cd02e0c420cca25e6c2bc1e1641c4a211a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.22
Realized PnL: $590.26
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.92K
Potential profit: $10.92K
User PnL: -$29

No position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $3.02K
User PnL: -$27.2

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$23.5

Yes position

Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$68.95

Yes position

Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $769.24
Potential profit: $766.94
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $620.16
Potential profit: $620.16
User PnL: -$81

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.4
Potential payout: $436.49
Potential profit: $434.08
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $408.04
Potential profit: $408.04
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $9.7
Potential payout: $317.92
Potential profit: $308.22
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.58
Potential profit: $257.58
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.97
Potential profit: $253.97
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $20.82
Potential payout: $231.31
Potential profit: $210.49
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $10.82

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.86
Potential profit: $194.86
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.11

Yes position

Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.93

Yes position

Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.12

Yes position

Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.06

Yes position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.83

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.82

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

Yes position

US-China trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 0.6% 519.24 shares
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 3.1% 317.92 shares
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 4.3% 231.31 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 9.1% 54.95 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 5.7% 35.09 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 1.1% 436.49 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 7% 28.57 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 3.4% 146.3 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares