Polymarket Trader

wks-527

0xbdea58c4acfb4cf69a759addee3858105857df6c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $81.56
Realized PnL: $320.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $11.09
Potential payout: $105.13
Potential profit: $94.03
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.54
Potential profit: $81.54
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $47.63
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $37.76
Potential payout: $51.72
Potential profit: $13.97
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $7.76

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$20

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $27.71
Potential payout: $50.85
Potential profit: $23.14
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$2.29

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.24
Potential profit: $45.24
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.37
Potential profit: $42.37
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $35.09
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.18

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $36.97

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.24

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.98

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.45

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.37

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.32

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $12.08

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 15+ times during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.23

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $9

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.39

No position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.48

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 52% 38.46 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

No 59% 50.85 shares
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?

Yes 5.1% 68.96 shares
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 96% 69.76 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 43% 69.77 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?

Yes 29% 68.97 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 58% 51.72 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 9.5% 105.12 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Yes 28.2% 35.52 shares