Polymarket Trader

LostProphet

0xbdec25c6317c7508bd68f5514029e94885b7df17

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $648.05
Realized PnL: -$205.16
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.01K
Potential profit: $7.01K
User PnL: -$967.12

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $642.78
Potential payout: $4.43K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$110.82

No position

Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $946.08
Potential profit: $946.08
User PnL: -$6

No position

Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.42
Potential profit: $350.42
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 25-27 ET?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $183.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $122.56
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.42
Potential profit: $51.42
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.82
Potential profit: $23.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $17.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel cancelled by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $2.84
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

TikTok sale announced by September 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

"Gabby’s Dollhouse" grosses higher than "One Battle After Another" opening weekend?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$212.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 17% 101.41 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 17% 4,272.71 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.6% 30,187.05 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Yes 87.9% 11.38 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.9% 12,448.57 shares
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Yes 4.2% 23.81 shares
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.8% 356.31 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.9% 17,382.17 shares