Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $11.83K
- Potential payout
- $14.69K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$941.99
Polymarket Trader
PrimeirosRicos
0xbded63dd8cc9cff81219917d443b4cfdeb915ae9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.92K
- Realized PnL
- $15.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $4.52K
- Potential payout
- $8.22K
- Potential profit
- $3.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$823.34
No position
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $64.76
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $256.59
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $994.81
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $254.17
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $201.81
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $166.75
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $983.25
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$40.25
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $319.42
- Potential payout
- $356.9
- Potential profit
- $37.47
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $19.42
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $216.92
- Potential payout
- $307.69
- Potential profit
- $90.77
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $16.92
Yes position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $131.45
- Potential payout
- $241.19
- Potential profit
- $109.74
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $43.45
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.85
- Potential profit
- $194.85
- User PnL
- -$174.53
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $690.93
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $645.43
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.86
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.55
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.51
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.24
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.18
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.55
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.82
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $183.25
Yes position
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.08
Yes position
Will Ryan Coogler be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.4
No position
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.6
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.55
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.39
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.14
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79.9% 4,628.46 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 632.91 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 625.13 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 65% 3,200.2 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 73% 2,934.92 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 65.2% 4,955.7 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 3,913.23 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 84% 5.95 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 1.35 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 3,225.81 shares
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No 97% 114.82 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 94% 520.22 shares