No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $188.18
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $181.5
Polymarket Trader
CPL19
0xbdefb81e11bf879fdd42a6c62173128ba5709c49
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.41K
- Realized PnL
- -$149.75
- Win rate
- 57.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $92.64
- Potential payout
- $448.63
- Potential profit
- $355.99
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$21.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.74
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.49
Yes position
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.23
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.43
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Heat
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.61
No position
Will Trump say "Hanukkah" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.35
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.89
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "Anti-Semitic" or "Anti-Semitism" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trump" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.65
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.54
Yes position
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.66
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.51
Yes position
Will Trump say "Golden Age" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$74.99
Tate position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100.3
No position
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$252.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 53.6% 62.87 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 53.6% 186.57 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 84% 202.11 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25.5% 448.63 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 69.4% 164.45 shares
- Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes 8.3% 164.88 shares
- Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 91% 15 shares
- Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?No 33% 246.24 shares
- Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes 20% 122.7 shares
- Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?No 66.3% 258.29 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 83% 1,210.05 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 61% 164.46 shares