Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$600
Polymarket Trader
0xBdF61C672bb559282114941e55afE7bcf456CeB2-1775475502459
0xbdf61c672bb559282114941e55afe7bcf456ceb2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $322.97
- Realized PnL
- $11.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $153.5
- Potential payout
- $791.25
- Potential profit
- $637.75
- Multiplier
- 5.15x
- User PnL
- -$346.5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $53.7
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $316.67
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$46.3
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $284.85
- Potential profit
- $282.43
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$37.58
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.92
- Potential payout
- $105.6
- Potential profit
- $97.68
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $105.42
- Potential payout
- $105.42
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $95.42
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.14
- Potential profit
- $103.14
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $887.72
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $859.4
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $742.78
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $716.77
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $672.58
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.31
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.44
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.89
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.36
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.19
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $175.31
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.33
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.06
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $151.28
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.86
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.64
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $81.08
Yes position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 38% 275 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 71% 144.92 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 83% 227.27 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16.3% 1,067.12 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 32% 810.81 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 40.2% 691.6 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 65% 819.67 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 63.9% 1,329.41 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 53% 625 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 15% 1,159.55 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No 38% 789.99 shares
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?Yes 6% 308.27 shares