N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
degbetting
0xbdf7d2581734ad00d1613a54f8b50577170d6bf8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.93
- Realized PnL
- $31.44
- Win rate
- 58.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $149.09
- Potential profit
- $149.01
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.93
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.76
- Potential profit
- $106.76
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.65
- Potential profit
- $52.65
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $42.5
- Potential profit
- $40.16
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.78
- Potential profit
- $41.78
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $40.35
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $30.33
- Potential profit
- $27.76
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $28.69
- Potential profit
- $25.39
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Y
Yes position
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.54
- Potential profit
- $27.54
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $26.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23.63
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $21.32
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $17.33
- Potential profit
- $16.03
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 4.95x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $8.76
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $9.29
- Potential profit
- $6.31
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $7.96
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.18
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $6.29
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "New York" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 3% 33.51 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 97.4% 2.05 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 57% 17.54 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 56.1% 7.13 shares
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 4.8% 41.67 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 30.6% 3.27 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 9.4% 10.52 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 9.5% 10.53 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 5% 20 shares