No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $12.26K
- Potential payout
- $16.24K
- Potential profit
- $3.98K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Polymarket Trader
0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941
@marcusabramovi1
0xbe044d601fbe89c9e87eacfa57d813a31f783c60
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $78.96K
- Realized PnL
- $30.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.43K
- Potential profit
- $15.43K
- User PnL
- -$12.24K
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $13.68K
- Potential payout
- $13.78K
- Potential profit
- $103.35
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13K
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $792.03
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.41K
- Potential payout
- $11.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $747.5
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $7.56K
- Potential payout
- $8.03K
- Potential profit
- $469.99
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $743.03
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $5.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$274.21
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $273.26
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$415.27
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.99K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- $910
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $280
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $185
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.52K
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.72K
- Potential profit
- $2.72K
- User PnL
- -$1.99K
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $2.42K
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $194.74
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $145.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $716.83
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$709.99
No position
Sisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $675.15
- Potential profit
- $675.15
- User PnL
- -$533.37
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $413.36
- Potential payout
- $504.1
- Potential profit
- $90.74
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $70.57
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $499.98
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380.14
- Potential profit
- $380.14
- User PnL
- -$9.44
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $222.6
- Potential payout
- $371
- Potential profit
- $148.4
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $40.81
Yes position
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $98.85
- Potential payout
- $99.65
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- User PnL
- $10.16
Yes position
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $85.88
- Potential payout
- $85.88
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Proph3T mindshare all time high by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$43.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Aurora Young Blood position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $904.65
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $763.56
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.03
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.54
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $670.96
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.5
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $641.69
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.8
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 55% 4,000 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 84% 2,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 66% 1,431.35 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 64% 2.18 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.8% 10,000 shares
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No 98% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 3?No 99.2% 0.77 shares
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo Run 97% 11.92 shares
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo Run 99.5% 111.49 shares
- Set 1 Winner: Moriya vs MatsudaMatsuda 59.7% 47.07 shares
- Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?Yes 64.1% 101.07 shares
- Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?Yes 71.7% 595.62 shares