Polymarket Trader

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0xbe122ca59c004c2232061bd5b4140793f990a3f5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $381.32
Realized PnL: $7.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $140.23
Potential payout: $710
Potential profit: $569.78
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$9.59

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $26.95
Potential payout: $317
Potential profit: $290.06
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$20.6

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $52.25
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $57.75
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$7.15

No position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $44.4
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $35.6
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.17
Potential profit: $69.17
User PnL: -$45.79

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $22.15
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $20.86
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$4.95

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $37.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $7.05
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $22.95
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$7.05

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.7%
Current value: $26.96
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $2.46
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Bill Gates charged by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $23.95
Potential payout: $23.96
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 54% 110 shares
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Yes 63% 43 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No 87% 40 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

No 7% 100 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 41% 41 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 47% 30 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 43% 121 shares
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 93% 113 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Yes 66.2% 69.17 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 15% 317 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 21.1% 710 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 91.8% 29.41 shares