Polymarket Trader

MotorControl

0xbe1ded5b7ebba705df5282bc52fba251c2f7a7da

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $754.56
Realized PnL: $2.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.97K
Potential profit: $6.97K
User PnL: -$589.97

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$750

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$750

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$306.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $811.78
Potential profit: $811.78
User PnL: -$75

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $706.35
Potential profit: $706.35
User PnL: -$500

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $591.03
Potential payout: $699.45
Potential profit: $108.41
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $291.03

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $673.15
Potential profit: $673.15
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $143.68
Potential payout: $638.58
Potential profit: $494.9
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$306.32

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $620.21
Potential profit: $620.21
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $505.75
Potential profit: $505.75
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $464.02
Potential profit: $464.02
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $19.85
Potential payout: $396.92
Potential profit: $377.07
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$130.15

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $393.58
Potential profit: $393.58
User PnL: -$50

Netherlands position

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $392.16
Potential profit: $392.16
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.9
Potential profit: $383.9
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$50

No position

GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $303.03
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $604.96

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.17

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.71

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.02

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.07

Yes position

Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.56

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.66

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.87

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.48

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?

Ends Nov 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.49

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.09

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $71.43

Hornets position

Bucks vs. Hornets

Ends Nov 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.95

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.99

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.92

Yes position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.45 before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.3

No position

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.99

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.29

Rockets position

Clippers vs. Rockets

Ends Nov 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.85

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Bulls

Ends Nov 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.98

No position

Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.7

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.96

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $41.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 25% 100 shares
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5

Over 70% 71.43 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 37% 216.22 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5

Over 86% 58.14 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 16% 312.5 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 53.4% 187.27 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 384.62 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 39% 128.21 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 65.5% 76.34 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 65.5% 76.34 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 24% 416.67 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 192.31 shares