Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.57
- Potential profit
- $128.57
- User PnL
- -$27
Polymarket Trader
Saloe
@MEqmhOQ15tPiNo8
0xbe2208985f2e7fa6e81017b3fd6137610981866c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $101.63
- Realized PnL
- $93.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $88.96
- Potential payout
- $97.75
- Potential profit
- $8.8
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.54
- Potential profit
- $61.54
- User PnL
- -$56
No position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.67
- Potential payout
- $12.68
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.63
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.83
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.13
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 89% 97.75 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 75% 39.07 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 91% 61.54 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?No 99.8% 21.73 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 80% 25.38 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?No 92% 21.74 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 39% 64.97 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes 21% 128.57 shares
- Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?Yes 98.7% 15.45 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 84.3% 22.56 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 63.2% 15.73 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 30% 27.11 shares