Yes position
Will Trump meet with Kevin Warsh in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $276.34
- Potential profit
- $276.34
- User PnL
- -$160
Polymarket Trader
LLMarena
0xbe2a8bed1fed285bbb5a69713973c28e3c02f745
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $126.98
- Realized PnL
- $880.63
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $126.98
- Potential payout
- $228.79
- Potential profit
- $101.81
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$23.02
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.59
- Potential profit
- $176.59
- User PnL
- -$122
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.79
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.44
No position
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.2
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.07
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.17
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.46
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.88
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.4
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$4.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 65.6% 228.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 48% 104.17 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 38% 315.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 74% 212.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 47% 212.77 shares
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29)No 69.1% 176.59 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes 77.8% 183.92 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No 63.9% 223.89 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No 65.9% 223.89 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 75.4% 195.58 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 77.1% 195.58 shares
- Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?Yes 77.1% 1.3 shares