Polymarket Trader

hgfhjm

0xbe4145aee3be1822b0863275e26c025a6b15bef2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.17
Realized PnL: $7.57
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $11.24
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$2

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $7.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kurd" or "Kurdish" during Kentucky visit?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Thunder position

Suns vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $240 on September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,600 on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Rockets position

Pacers vs. Rockets

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Nuggets position

Bulls vs. Nuggets

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

No 63% 1.59 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 12% 5 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

No 90.2% 2.56 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

No 39% 2.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

No 28.2% 2.5 shares
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

No 39.9% 2.51 shares
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?

Yes 34% 2.08 shares
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?

Yes 48% 2.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 26?

No 60% 1.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Yes 8.9% 11.24 shares