No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $6.26
- Potential payout
- $6.29
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.26
Polymarket Trader
helge2
0xbe68abc6c1adbe005208f6b5175c0e9662834cd1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.78
- Realized PnL
- $0.55
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $5.14
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.07
FK Bodø/Glimt position
Spread: IK Start (-1.5)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Over position
Dias vs. Olivieri: Match O/U 22.5
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
FC Nordsjælland position
Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Under position
Dias vs. Olivieri: Match O/U 22.5
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 97.3% 5.14 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 87% 5.75 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 96.5% 5.18 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 98.8% 5.09 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 99.4% 5.36 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 94.7% 2.18 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 93.2% 5.36 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 5.43 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No 98.7% 1.66 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 98.9% 1.05 shares
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?Yes 91% 3.3 shares
- Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No 96.5% 5.18 shares