Polymarket Trader

0xbE74A080d32577db0eAc47c5d9bBcFF54b4254A8-1726049389142

0xbe74a080d32577db0eac47c5d9bbcff54b4254a8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $233.85
Realized PnL: $0.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Newcastle win on 2024-10-19?

Ends Oct 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $220.19
Potential payout: $220.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $107.89

No position

Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.44

Boden position

Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0.14

Perez position

WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.17

SOL position

Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Newcastle win on 2024-10-19?

No 51% 220.19 shares
Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?

Yes 59% 1.69 shares
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?

No 61% 1.64 shares
2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?

SOL 54% 1.85 shares
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?

No 58% 1.72 shares
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

No 45.5% 6,659 shares
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?

Yes 59% 1.69 shares
Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?

No 41% 2.44 shares
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?

Yes 57% 1.75 shares
Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B

Boden 44% 2.27 shares
WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)

Perez 46% 2.17 shares