Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $82.84
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
Polymarket Trader
Luckybucky123
0xbe766ff2a03360d82f927a8c3b021fc649170951
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.8
- Realized PnL
- $22.97
- Win rate
- 29.4%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $12.34
- Potential payout
- $53.76
- Potential profit
- $41.42
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $27.59
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $30.97
- Potential profit
- $28.24
- Multiplier
- 11.36x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.07
- Potential profit
- $27.07
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Morocco position
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $26.21
- Potential profit
- $16.32
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $13.78
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $8.44
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $3.78
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.1%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $20.75
- Potential profit
- $17.01
- Multiplier
- 5.54x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.46
- Potential profit
- $19.46
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Over position
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $10.47
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $9.57
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $7.37
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $10.54
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.54
England position
Spread: England (-2.5)
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $6.42
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
England position
Spread: England (-1.5)
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.96
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.56
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
Portugal position
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Bosnia and Herzegovina position
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
France position
Spread: France (-2.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina 65% 15.38 shares
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Over 53% 18.87 shares
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Yes 59% 16.95 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 45% 22.22 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 61% 8.2 shares
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain 33% 15.15 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 16.1% 30.97 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 51% 9.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 5.9% 84.75 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?No 62% 16.13 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 99.9% 16.39 shares