Polymarket Trader

Topbonus

0xbe89fef40bca036bbe5c986f93fa94109087dbd5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $666.83
Realized PnL: $2.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $176.74
Potential payout: $336.65
Potential profit: $159.91
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $8.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $250.69
Potential payout: $277.01
Potential profit: $26.32
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $112.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $43.99
Potential payout: $139.66
Potential profit: $95.67
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$25.84

Yes position

Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $129.46
Potential profit: $129.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $72.19
Potential payout: $105.39
Potential profit: $33.2
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $19.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $50.03
Potential payout: $105.33
Potential profit: $55.3
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $105.28
Potential profit: $95.28
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$42.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $64.25
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$31.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $52.1
Potential payout: $54.47
Potential profit: $2.37
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $24.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.93
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$14.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.69
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$2.72

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or higher on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $154.97

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $146.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.73

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.72

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 23% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 21% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 5.3% 83.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 45% 63.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 63% 60.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 42% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 59% 48 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 12% 27 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 11% 139.68 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 43% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 43% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 93% 45 shares