No position
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $150K
- User PnL
- -$150
Polymarket Trader
fiftyfifty
0xbe94ce037ae85acb9d7846730a20a25f2b5fda00
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.2K
- Realized PnL
- $66.13K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.3K
- Potential profit
- $25.3K
- User PnL
- -$34.89
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $14.31K
- Potential profit
- $13.15K
- Multiplier
- 12.35x
- User PnL
- $388.71
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$3.67K
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950
- Potential profit
- $950
- User PnL
- -$10.45
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $24.75
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $875.25
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $8.55
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $894.15
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $899.99
- Potential profit
- $894.14
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$14.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.34K
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $455.99
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $273.47
Yes position
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.59
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.06
No position
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.05
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.99
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross more than $108m opening weekend?
Ends Jun 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross more than $300m by May 15?
Ends May 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Trump in jail before election day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' >$44m Opening Weekend?
Ends May 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump before June?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Yes position
No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.25
Yes position
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.05
No position
'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' over $80m opening weekend?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.6% 5,495.06 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.4% 1,087.72 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.1% 1,493.88 shares
- Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?No 0.1% 1,718.73 shares
- Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?No 99.9% 887.5 shares
- Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?No 0.1% 2,420.38 shares
- Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?No 0.1% 9,000 shares
- US recession in 2025?Yes 30% 1,000 shares
- US recession in 2025?Yes 30% 1,000 shares
- US recession in 2025?Yes 42% 1,000 shares
- US recession in 2025?Yes 42% 1,500 shares
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 71.8% 0.52 shares