No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Polymarket Trader
Arabella919
0xbea0314c62eb8b28b14cb9b4b6143cc3cfb6afa6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $6.48
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 4–11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 4–11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 51% 44 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 51% 37 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.4% 113 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.5% 147 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 98.1% 30 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 59% 72 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.4% 96 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.4% 138 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?No 98.5% 23 shares
- Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No 97.7% 23 shares
- Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No 97.8% 23 shares
- Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship?No 98.6% 23 shares