Polymarket Trader

0xbeaB437Ad154Ebd0b6F03E32eDCC1cff3C4eC09f-1775611519110

0xbeab437ad154ebd0b6f03e32edcc1cff3c4ec09f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $103.25
Realized PnL: -$28.14
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $56.11
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $29.7
Potential payout: $507.71
Potential profit: $478.01
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$25.64

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.86
Potential profit: $267.86
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.42
Potential profit: $63.42
User PnL: -$14.54

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.08
Potential profit: $44.08
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Solana reach $110 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$4.69

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $17.44
Potential payout: $21.88
Potential profit: $4.44
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $14.44

Yes position

Clavicular arrested again by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.57
Potential profit: $11.57
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

X banned in any European country by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $0.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.88

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$4.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 13.7% 21.88 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 11.3% 44.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 21.6% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 26% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 23% 15.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 33% 15.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Down 73% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Down 64% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 43% 11.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 43.5% 11.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 29% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 55% 9.09 shares