willardjack

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.37
Potential profit: $899.37
User PnL: -$10

Toronto KOI position

Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $565.06
Potential profit: $565.06
User PnL: -$11

G2 Minnesota position

Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231.14
Potential profit: $231.14
User PnL: -$20.1

G2 Minnesota position

Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.75
Potential profit: $143.75
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $26.06
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $114.79
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$73.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.67
Potential profit: $106.67
User PnL: -$34.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.3
Potential profit: $92.3
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $71.3
Potential payout: $77.55
Potential profit: $6.24
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $59.9
Potential profit: $54.81
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$20.91

Vancouver Surge position

Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.89
Potential profit: $38.89
User PnL: -$2

Riyadh Falcons position

Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.58
Potential profit: $26.58
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.5
Potential profit: $23.5
User PnL: -$10.34

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $22.5
Potential profit: $18.79
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$6.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.05
Potential profit: $22.05
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.04
Potential profit: $21.04
User PnL: -$10.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.28

Toronto KOI position

Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs OpTic Texas - Game 3 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.67
Potential profit: $18.67
User PnL: -$10.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.65
Potential profit: $18.65
User PnL: -$10.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.03

Riyadh Falcons position

Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET