No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
Saurix1
0xbebe0da3bb8751dfb33b1eef4cfcf805f973ad8e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.22
- Realized PnL
- -$11
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $61.41
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $7.71
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $49.43
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$12.29
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.59
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$4.59
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp 17% 34.94 shares
- S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?Yes 1% 509.97 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes 43% 11.63 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 35% 57.14 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 6% 250 shares