Polymarket Trader

fehlpassprofi

0xbebe4bb17c689b668e112b3eeade2dd0cd135dd2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.88
Realized PnL: -$1.72
Win rate: 10%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.18
Potential profit: $61.18
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.08
Potential profit: $42.08
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.66
Potential profit: $30.66
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.67
Potential profit: $28.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $23.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $18.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.04
Potential profit: $19.04
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$6.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?

Yes 17.9% 20.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?

Yes 49% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?

Yes 50% 10 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on June 24?

Yes 47% 21.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 24?

Yes 10.1% 24.48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?

Yes 20.9% 16.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 23?

Yes 13% 38.46 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 24?

Yes 20.4% 24.48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 24?

Yes 21% 23.81 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?

Yes 30.4% 16.45 shares