Polymarket Trader

0xbec4...b075

0xbec46ec41f7a9fb691c4da355fe6d3fe80e9b075

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $197
Realized PnL: $0.28
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $41.85
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $12.15
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $51.16
Potential profit: $40.06
Multiplier: 4.61x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $6.89
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.6%
Current value: $9.48
Potential payout: $16.19
Potential profit: $6.71
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $8.34
Potential payout: $14.25
Potential profit: $5.92
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $7.54
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $5.46
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 77.1%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $12.14
Potential profit: $2.79
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $8.94
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $3.06
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.66

No position

Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $9.08
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $1.93
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $10.18
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.86
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $2.14
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $10.18
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $1.16
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $9.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 6?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$3.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?

No 88% 11 shares
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

No 93% 10 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 92% 10 shares
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

No 92% 11 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 60.4% 2 shares
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?

Yes 58% 17 shares
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?

No 59% 13 shares
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

No 77.1% 12.14 shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 55% 14.25 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

No 84% 11 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

No 77% 8 shares
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 75% 3 shares