Polymarket Trader

1lng

0xbed861c6d5ebabc7166264b7c8baa359913afd44

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $242.88
Realized PnL: $1.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $668.35
Potential profit: $668.35
User PnL: -$624

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $19.28
Potential payout: $202.93
Potential profit: $183.65
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$73.3

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.35
Potential profit: $136.35
User PnL: -$126

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $106.79
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $16.67
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $6.79

Lynn Vision position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $20.13
Potential payout: $78.95
Potential profit: $58.82
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$9.87

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $70.38
Potential payout: $76.09
Potential profit: $5.71
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $22.07
Potential payout: $56.6
Potential profit: $34.52
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$12.93

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.17
Potential profit: $40.17
User PnL: -$24.1

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.77
Potential profit: $34.77
User PnL: -$14.6

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $24.71
Potential profit: $20.51
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$14.82

Rare Atom position

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.59
Potential profit: $24.59
User PnL: -$15

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.44
Potential profit: $24.44
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Heroic position

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.08
Potential profit: $13.08
User PnL: -$8.24

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.23
Potential profit: $12.23
User PnL: -$4

MIBR position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

M80 position

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$2

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$2

Liquid position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

GamerLegion position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.24

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.11

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.11

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.05

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.12

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.01

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.76

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.92

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.9

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.2

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.23

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.36

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.84

No position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.54

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.36

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 9-15?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.57

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.28

No position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.66

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.64

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 9% 245.71 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 46% 13.04 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 8 2026?

No 94.4% 5.74 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 96% 66.67 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Yes 63% 23.81 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 8 2026?

No 87% 5.75 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 83% 120.48 shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5

Over 40.9% 24.44 shares
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

TYLOO 15% 33.33 shares
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

TYLOO 45% 11.11 shares
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

M80 24% 8.33 shares
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

paiN 40% 2.5 shares