Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.12
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$24.54
Polymarket Trader
ember.wick
0xbefe0ccbc80dfd2163fc5df4b402b75a5101f3d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.09
- Realized PnL
- $205.31
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $25.63
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $99.38
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.13
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Vacherot position
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherot
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Pacers position
Warriors vs. Pacers
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
Kings position
Kings vs. Bucks
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.34
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Nets
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Hornets
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Nets position
Nets vs. Pacers
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Suns position
Spurs vs. Suns
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Khachanov position
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Paul position
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Bai position
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Zhuoxuan Bai
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 20% 125 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Yes 9.1% 54.95 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Yes 16% 31.25 shares
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 22% 45.45 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 48% 10.42 shares
- Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Yes 30% 16.67 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 131.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 91.7% 75.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 66% 75.76 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 58.2% 103.13 shares