No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $237.75
- Potential payout
- $249.61
- Potential profit
- $11.86
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Polymarket Trader
vmnfdyt
0xbefeab42ac4f857ff109f794922898dc1a523031
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $237.75
- Realized PnL
- $3.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.5
- Potential profit
- $127.5
- User PnL
- -$104.55
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.66
- Potential profit
- $120.66
- User PnL
- -$114.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
Seahawks position
Rams vs. Seahawks
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.21
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.44
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.36
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
US military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 97.2% 195.11 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No 98.5% 174.28 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 93.8% 171.67 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 96.8% 10.09 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No 96.3% 104.54 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 96% 47.22 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?No 99.1% 36.12 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes 98.7% 20.45 shares
- Will Solana dip to $150 in September?No 99.3% 15.34 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No 97.7% 35.41 shares
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?No 99.6% 34.6 shares
- Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes 97.5% 34.46 shares