Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $879.8
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$238.57
Polymarket Trader
0xbEFFB2418B31ad29527eF79Ae8f4bC6E118508E4-1773345861012
0xbeffb2418b31ad29527ef79ae8f4bc6e118508e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.65K
- Realized PnL
- $762.29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $620.36
- Potential payout
- $742.95
- Potential profit
- $122.59
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $9.17
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $157.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $163.8
- Potential profit
- $160.53
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will BMO fail by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $122.52
- Potential profit
- $120.68
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.16
Yes position
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $3.39
- Potential payout
- $116.81
- Potential profit
- $113.42
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $11.67
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $99.44
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $101.67
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $102.78
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $14.46
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $92.68
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.5
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.5
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $96.77
- Potential profit
- $93.73
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Truist fail by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $90.17
- Potential profit
- $87.65
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$7.48
Yes position
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $88.55
- Potential profit
- $85.45
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
NATO dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $3.46
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $79.88
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $7.08
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $76.25
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $25.42
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $57.92
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $15.42
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $2.71
- Potential payout
- $80.99
- Potential profit
- $78.28
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $79.27
- Potential profit
- $77.26
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $76.69
- Potential profit
- $73.13
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $8.21
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $63.21
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $67.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $386.32
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.47
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.93
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $36.87
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $33.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.03
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.83
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.64
Yes position
Will Singapore win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.94
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.31
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.26
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.2
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.36
Yes position
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
No position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
Yes position
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 107.14 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 22.9% 173.33 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes 7% 71.43 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 20.5% 35 shares
- European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 43% 43.9 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 92% 43.9 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.3% 72.51 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 93.8% 34.12 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 97.6% 32.29 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 92.9% 32.29 shares