Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Current value
- $27.87
- Potential payout
- $30.53
- Potential profit
- $2.66
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Polymarket Trader
TwilightRuins
0xbf01ffbe74eb9315f7ba26b1932abd4dfb2607d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.87
- Realized PnL
- $11.14
- Win rate
- 94.1%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
G2 NORD position
LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will BNB reach $1,200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95% 30.53 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?Yes 99% 30.3 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?Yes 62% 8.06 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?Yes 15.2% 13.16 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 94% 42.72 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 91% 42.73 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 97.2% 39.78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 39.78 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96% 38.14 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97% 38.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.1% 38.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 93% 38.71 shares