Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
mecha0red - 38045
0xbf1388e52cc48822993167c4f3ff815b3b7500bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.96
- Realized PnL
- $1.21K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.72
- Potential payout
- $217.3
- Potential profit
- $214.58
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.75
- Potential profit
- $77.75
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $17.24
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $32.75
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.6
- Potential profit
- $44.6
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $853.62
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.87
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 18 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.21
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $38.92
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.21
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $18.4
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.91
Yes position
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st?
Ends Oct 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6651018.85x
- User PnL
- $13.31
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.91
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $5.13
Yes position
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021?
Ends Aug 5, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 18 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.06
No position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Short position
What will the fully diluted market cap of dYdX's token be 1 week after it starts trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6618503.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of April 27 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Long position
What will the price of $ETH be on August 11?
Ends Aug 11, 2021- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 33% 100 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 40% 15 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 44% 10 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 42% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 6.4% 77.75 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 47% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 25% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 21% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 12% 50 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.3% 250 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.3% 774.82 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares