Polymarket Trader

impvol

0xbf19f23f8932a2870711b0bd7e32d21c0fc2b3ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.72
Realized PnL: $41.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $14.48
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $11.16
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $4.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$10

France position

France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.74
Potential profit: $16.74
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bank of America say "Gross margin" during earnings call?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $7.55
Potential profit: $3.43
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29.2%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $7.38
Potential profit: $5.23
Multiplier: 3.43x
User PnL: $0.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bank of America say "Disruption" during earnings call?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $2.13
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Public" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Bank of America say "World Cup" during earnings call?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Birthday" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Up 61% 1.64 shares
Lincoln: Hayato Matsuoka vs Hiroki Moriya AND Lincoln: Evan Zhu vs Yunchaokete Bu AND Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe AND Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

41.9% 11.56 shares
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 99.1% 2.56 shares
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B AND Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs AND Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival AND Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival AND Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

18% 9.35 shares
Will Starmer say "Public" during the next PMQ?

Yes 80% 1.25 shares
Will the announcers say "Birthday" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 73% 1.37 shares
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 78% 2.56 shares
Will Bank of America say "World Cup" during earnings call?

Yes 49% 2.04 shares
Will Bank of America say "Disruption" during earnings call?

Yes 47% 2.13 shares
Will Bank of America say "Gross margin" during earnings call?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Giorgio Tabacco AND Bunschoten: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Kimmer Coppejans AND Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar AND Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B AND Kitzbuehel: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Anna-Lena Friedsam AND Rainbow Six Siege: Chiefs Esports Club vs ENTERPRISE Esports (BO3) - Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Playoffs AND Pozoblanco: Pablo Perez vs Oliver Crawford AND Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

8.3% 57.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Up 81% 6.17 shares