Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
Sugarbush
0xbf288a99c51c68cc29f716bb4fdce9773e483c9f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $513.86
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $36.11
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $519.44
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$63.89
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $477.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $22.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $18.75
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$204
No position
Will Jean Smart win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $384.62
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.93
- Potential profit
- $323.93
- User PnL
- -$19.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $313.24
- Potential profit
- $313.24
- User PnL
- -$196.27
No position
Will The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Noah Wyle win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.41
- Potential profit
- $236.41
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Nick Kurtz win the American League Rookie of the Year?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.46
- Potential profit
- $229.46
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 91.8% 500 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No 62.7% 307.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 555.56 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 6% 157.27 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 6% 157.27 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?Yes 0.8% 1,875 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 51% 101.15 shares
- Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes 74% 100 shares
- Will Nick Kurtz win the American League Rookie of the Year?No 10.9% 229.46 shares
- Will Noah Wyle win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series?No 21.1% 236.41 shares
- Will The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?No 19% 263.16 shares
- Will Jean Smart win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series?No 13% 384.62 shares