Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $19.43K
- Potential profit
- $17.39K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$227
Polymarket Trader
0xbF4d202382
0xbf4d202382ba5702721a8c43126f5f08163733ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.48K
- Realized PnL
- $68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $13.47K
- Potential payout
- $14.18K
- Potential profit
- $709.19
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.35K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $95.87
- Potential payout
- $11.98K
- Potential profit
- $11.89K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$855.87
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $8.48K
- Potential payout
- $10.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $529.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.35K
- Potential profit
- $9.35K
- User PnL
- -$307.97
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.92K
- Potential profit
- $6.92K
- User PnL
- -$747.43
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $5.94K
- Potential payout
- $6.1K
- Potential profit
- $155.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $3.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $26.59
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $885.5
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $214.5
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$23.5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$179.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $142.89
- Potential payout
- $921.84
- Potential profit
- $778.95
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$269.43
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $452.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $47.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $87.5
Yes position
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.8%
- Current value
- $191.27
- Potential payout
- $349.35
- Potential profit
- $158.08
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $69.03
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $325.71
- Potential profit
- $322.45
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$119.04
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Current value
- $218.98
- Potential payout
- $240.51
- Potential profit
- $21.53
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $53.49
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $197.12
- Potential payout
- $222.73
- Potential profit
- $25.61
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $103.57
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.02
- Potential profit
- $62.02
- User PnL
- -$2.11
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $13.17
- Potential payout
- $14.32
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.94K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $908.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 47.1% 190 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 43.9% 614.83 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 43.5% 7.23 shares
- Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes 27.1% 100 shares
- Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes 27% 107.95 shares
- Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes 26.8% 11.4 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 16.9% 59 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 16.8% 587.75 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 16.7% 154 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 16.7% 444 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 15.9% 1,060.81 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 15.4% 400 shares