Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $43.55
- Potential payout
- $750.94
- Potential profit
- $707.39
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- -$84.11
Polymarket Trader
tooBIGtoRIG
0xbf5b8bfefacb7e39739f009fa86ad5914d9307d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $133.76
- Realized PnL
- $73.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $55.8
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Current value
- $11.77
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $41.23
- Multiplier
- 4.50x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.88
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.2%
- Current value
- $11.16
- Potential payout
- $46.23
- Potential profit
- $35.07
- Multiplier
- 4.14x
- User PnL
- -$5.39
Yes position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $14.55
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $15.45
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $5.85
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $23.87
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
OKX IPO in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.8
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $8.94
- Potential payout
- $13.54
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $3.25
Kyle Daukaus position
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$3.38
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $5.46
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $6.54
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $7.94
- Potential payout
- $7.95
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Imavov position
Adesanya vs. Imavov
Ends Feb 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
No position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $4.85
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will "Not Like Us" by Kendrick Lamar win Best Rap Song?
Ends Jan 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Biden resign before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Yoon flee South Korea before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
US civil war in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?Yes 99.9% 8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.4% 21 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 93.5% 19 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.3% 7.95 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 18% 65.74 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 95% 20 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 98.2% 16 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 97.6% 15 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 101.21 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 81% 20 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes 1.6% 79.97 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 66% 12 shares