Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Polymarket Trader
Stan3wp4
0xbf64df0edb45cb4d8d33dce159e45c9fd7e7a9bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.1
- Realized PnL
- $70.23
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Portland position
Oregon State vs. Portland
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.17
Matthews position
Matthews vs. Prado
Ends Feb 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
Robert Morris position
Robert Morris vs. Cleveland State
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
No position
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Under position
Will the Bills and Broncos combine for 48 or more points?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Y
Yes position
Will Trump sign between 1 and 3 executive orders on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.1%
- Multiplier
- 5.54x
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 11.4% 78 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 97.3% 39 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 2.8% 39 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96.3% 43 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96.3% 43 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.1% 44 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.6% 44 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 93.7% 41 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.2% 43 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 76.6% 55 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 75.3% 55 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.5% 28 shares