Polymarket Trader

0xbf66...08db

0xbf6697d20525f5ede8a1969406b09290109208db

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $56.5
Realized PnL: -$18.21
Win rate: 30.8%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Ends Aug 10, 2028

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.56
Potential payout: $101.62
Potential profit: $98.06
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.25
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$10.25

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $81.55
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$14.55

Yes position

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $13.05
Potential payout: $81.56
Potential profit: $68.51
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$6.85

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $39.96
Potential profit: $31.71
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $30.67
Potential profit: $26.43
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $24.59
Potential profit: $22
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $23.62
Potential profit: $19.03
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $1.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.57

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 25% 32 shares
Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Yes 6.9% 101.62 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 14% 50 shares
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Yes 24.4% 81.56 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 6?

Yes 8% 23.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 6?

Yes 1% 285.15 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Yes 55% 9.09 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 24.9% 39.96 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.2% 24.59 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.7% 23.62 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.3% 30.67 shares
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7% 555.55 shares