Polymarket Trader

Megasic

0xbf6ac69a9110564806a3e974d8eb95c92fb0e60d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.97
Realized PnL: $127.38
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yibing Wu position

Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $12.46
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.1%
Current value: $5.51
Potential payout: $14.88
Potential profit: $9.37
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1

Jessica Pegula position

Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.47

Nemiga Gaming position

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.43

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

RE.Arise position

Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

Vici Gaming position

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.88

Novak Djokovic position

Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86

MOUZ position

Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Rune Eaters position

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Nemiga Gaming position

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Alicia Herrero Linana position

Contrexeville: Elina Avanesyan vs Alicia Herrero Linana

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Nemiga Gaming position

Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Nemiga Gaming position

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Nigma Galaxy position

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

1win position

Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

Team Syntax position

Dota 2: Hive vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Arch position

Counter-Strike: Arch vs Next UP (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffs

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Isurus position

Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group A

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

LYON position

LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

RE.Arise 99% 94.39 shares
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

RE.Arise 83% 94.39 shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Team Yandex 99.2% 79.66 shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Team Yandex 85% 72.42 shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Team Yandex 69% 7.25 shares
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Nemiga Gaming 99.9% 52.61 shares
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

RE.Arise 58.6% 23.52 shares
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner

RE.Arise 4% 29.48 shares
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Nemiga Gaming 91.5% 52.61 shares
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner

RE.Arise 88% 22.73 shares
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner

RE.Arise 74% 6.76 shares
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner

1win 98.1% 39.09 shares