Yes position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
MARW2025Sebastian
0xbf6b3090e324823ad3c524a72080db25fcfa8979
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $369.72
- Realized PnL
- $49.38
- Win rate
- 20.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.66
- Potential profit
- $666.66
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Federico Valverde win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $512.77
- Potential profit
- $512.77
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Graz host Eurovision 2026?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.56
- Potential profit
- $236.56
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Solana reach $350 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.08
- Potential profit
- $204.08
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $163.88
- Potential payout
- $163.88
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $63.88
Yes position
Will Paradise win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.58
- Potential profit
- $160.58
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will The White Lotus win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.26
- Potential profit
- $160.26
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.67
- Potential profit
- $158.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $143.09
- Potential profit
- $141.8
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.71
Yes position
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $112.65
- Potential payout
- $112.65
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $57.65
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.76
- Potential profit
- $106.76
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.65
- Potential profit
- $95.65
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $93.75
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $91.9
- Potential payout
- $91.9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $61.9
Yes position
Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.21
Yes position
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.56
Yes position
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
Yes position
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.16
Yes position
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
Yes position
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?
Ends Sep 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be blue?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Elon no longer world's richest before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President in 2025?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares
- Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes 0.6% 3,333.33 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Yes 1% 2,096.66 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes 1.3% 1,521.38 shares
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?Yes 32.6% 91.9 shares
- Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?Yes 0.9% 200 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 2.3% 153.84 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?Yes 0.3% 120 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes 0.3% 111.32 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?Yes 0.1% 173.61 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes 0.5% 92.59 shares
- Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?Yes 0.4% 54.78 shares