Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $53.39
- Multiplier
- 13.42x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Polymarket Trader
jack.rabbit
0xbf73e3bdeb9272a539b4011ca4e32ca070177e17
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.7
- Realized PnL
- -$18.9
- Win rate
- 43.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $15.14
- Multiplier
- 9.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.8% 16.95 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?Yes 5.2% 57.69 shares
- Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83% 1.2 shares
- Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 66% 1.52 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 34% 14.71 shares
- Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 85% 1.18 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 78% 1.28 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 58.2% 1.72 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 0.7% 5.88 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 62.7% 1.59 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Yes 2.1% 48 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 17% 5.88 shares