Polymarket Trader

ALIEN

0xbf76181d269aa6027c24ff4da5ebd70e34e011a3

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $926.86
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $362.48
Potential payout: $362.66
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$50

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.84
Potential profit: $212.84
User PnL: -$167.82

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $204.14
Potential payout: $205.89
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $46.97
Potential payout: $204.68
Potential profit: $157.7
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $11.97

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.01
Potential profit: $175.01
User PnL: -$19.91

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.63
Potential profit: $153.63
User PnL: -$91.95

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $135.14
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.62
Potential profit: $134.62
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $115
User PnL: -$20.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $102.73
Potential payout: $103.66
Potential profit: $0.93
User PnL: $17.73

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.46
Potential profit: $96.46
User PnL: -$90

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.94
Potential profit: $94.94
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $58.14
Potential payout: $90.14
Potential profit: $32
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$5.86

No position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.24
Potential profit: $88.24
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $85.9
Potential payout: $85.95
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.37
Potential profit: $85.37
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.5
Potential profit: $81.5
User PnL: -$25

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.46
Potential profit: $79.46
User PnL: -$77

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $66.5
Potential payout: $66.6
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.76
Potential profit: $60.76
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.66
Potential profit: $57.66
User PnL: -$19.6

Over position

Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.05
Potential profit: $41.05
User PnL: -$28.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 96.2% 205.89 shares
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 99.9% 362.66 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

No 87% 36.78 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

No 96.1% 66.6 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 71% 90.14 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

No 90% 82.22 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

Yes 63% 117.46 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 98.9% 85.95 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 82% 103.66 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 204.68 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 41% 85.37 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 96.6% 90.06 shares