No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.65
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- -$14.79
Polymarket Trader
zhongzhuan
0xbf802a0c8534be338169bd41c6a95805fa59936c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.52
- Realized PnL
- $4.91
- Win rate
- 81.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $19.37
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.8
- Potential payout
- $19.8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Base airdrop in Q3 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Coinbase acquire Circle before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Base airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Elon Musk arrested in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Jeremy Simon win?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will a candidate from another party win Montana Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.8% 19.8 shares
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 20 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No 94.3% 80.28 shares
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 20 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No 99.5% 20 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No 99.2% 20 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No 99% 33 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No 99.6% 25.55 shares
- Base airdrop in Q3 2025?No 96.1% 57.23 shares
- Will Coinbase acquire Circle before September?No 98.8% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No 98.3% 25.55 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No 92.9% 14.91 shares