Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $49.9
- Potential profit
- $49.83
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.93
Polymarket Trader
Nick46383
0xbf878be8a1b5d8688a0808a9a8d8e880bedbdafd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.77
- Realized PnL
- $77.84
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.28
- Potential profit
- $33.28
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $22.52
- Potential profit
- $17.83
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $21.53
- Potential payout
- $22.03
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.53
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $9.26
- Potential payout
- $18.35
- Potential profit
- $9.08
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.87
- Potential profit
- $11.87
- User PnL
- -$4.51
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.65
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.82
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Hate" or "Hatred" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will Trump say "Chile" or "New Zealand" or "Albania" in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
Will Trump say "Steroid" in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Zohran Mamdani Parlay
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Trump say "Pope" in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Ban" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Trump say "Little Rocket Man" in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Starmer say "Hate" or "Hatred" during the next PMQ?Yes 35% 5.71 shares
- Will Starmer say "Ban" during the next PMQ?Yes 82% 2.44 shares
- Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Yes 43% 4.65 shares
- Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next PMQ?Yes 64% 3.13 shares
- Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?Yes 92% 2.17 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 26% 18.35 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 60% 4.83 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 22.2% 22.52 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 38% 11.87 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 45.4% 22.03 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 84% 5.95 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 83.8% 1.19 shares